{"id":33100,"date":"2024-09-21T07:30:08","date_gmt":"2024-09-21T07:30:08","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-29T22:00:00","slug":"analyza-hokejovych-zapasu-na-co-si-dat-v-tipsport-extralize-pozor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/?p=33100","title":{"rendered":"Anal\u00fdza hokejov\u00fdch z\u00e1pas\u016f na co si d\u00e1t v Tipsport extralize pozor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdvoj a pro\u010d se nevyplat\u00ed spol\u00e9hat jen na popularitu<\/h2>\n

Statistiky ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee t\u00fdm s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edmi fanou\u0161ky v posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech \u010dasto sel\u017ee, proto\u017ee motivace kon\u010d\u00ed po dosa\u017een\u00ed prvn\u00edho m\u00edsta ve skupin\u011b. Kdy\u017e se pod\u00edv\u00e1me na posledn\u00ed deset z\u00e1pas\u016f, zjist\u00edme, \u017ee pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd po\u010det st\u0159el na branku kles\u00e1 o 12\u202f% v takzvan\u00fdch \u201evyh\u0159\u00edvan\u00fdch\u201c z\u00e1pasech. To je jasn\u00e1 v\u00fdstraha. P\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed kolo p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1, \u017ee outsideri budou m\u00edt v\u00fdhodu, pokud se nebudou dr\u017eet zdlouhav\u00fdch anal\u00fdz. <\/p>\n

Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 faktory, kter\u00e9 rozhoduj\u00ed o v\u00fdslechu<\/h2>\n

Prvn\u00ed v\u011bc: brank\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd pr\u016fm\u011br. Pokud brank\u00e1\u0159 po dobu dvou po sob\u011b jdouc\u00edch z\u00e1pas\u016f dopust\u00ed v\u00edce ne\u017e 2,5 g\u00f3l\u016f, jeho t\u00fdm \u010dasto ztr\u00e1c\u00ed. D\u00e1le je nutn\u00e9 sledovat tzv. \u201ep\u0159echodov\u00e9 \u010dasy\u201c \u2013 okam\u017eiky, kdy se hr\u00e1\u010d p\u0159esouv\u00e1 mezi \u010dervenou a b\u00edlou \u010d\u00e1rou. Zde se odehr\u00e1v\u00e1 70\u202f% v\u0161ech rozhoduj\u00edc\u00edch \u0161anc\u00ed. Mimo to, sledujte zran\u011bn\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch hr\u00e1\u010d\u016f; jeden ztracen\u00fd \u00fato\u010dn\u00edk m\u016f\u017ee sn\u00ed\u017eit \u0161ance na v\u00fdhru o a\u017e 30\u202f%.<\/p>\n

Psychologie soupe\u0159\u016f \u2013 co se skr\u00fdv\u00e1 za statistikami<\/h3>\n

Ka\u017ed\u00fd t\u00fdm m\u00e1 sv\u00e9 \u201ement\u00e1ln\u00ed hranice\u201c. Kdy\u017e prohraj\u00ed t\u0159i z\u00e1pasy za sebou, \u010dasto se propadnou do spir\u00e1ly, kter\u00e1 se t\u011b\u017eko p\u0159ekon\u00e1v\u00e1. Naopak v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed na led\u011b po dvou prohran\u00fdch utk\u00e1n\u00edch zp\u016fsobuje n\u00e1hl\u00fd r\u016fst agresivity, co\u017e se prom\u00edt\u00e1 do vy\u0161\u0161\u00edho po\u010dtu trestn\u00fdch minut a t\u00edm i do vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch \u0161anc\u00ed pro soupe\u0159e. Tohle nen\u00ed jen teorie \u2013 je to realita, kterou m\u016f\u017ee\u0161 sledovat p\u0159\u00edmo na sportovnisazenicz.com<\/a>. <\/p>\n

Strategie s\u00e1zka\u0159\u016f \u2013 co bychom m\u011bli m\u00edt v kapse<\/h2>\n

Jedna slova: nehr\u00e1vej na tradi\u010dn\u00ed 1X2. Vyu\u017eij over\/under a prvn\u00ed g\u00f3l. Pokud t\u00fdm m\u00e1 v posledn\u00edch p\u011bti z\u00e1pasech v\u00edce ne\u017e 1,8 vst\u0159elen\u00fdch g\u00f3l\u016f, s\u00e1zej na v\u00edce ne\u017e 2,5. A kdy\u017e se obrac\u00ed obrana s pr\u016fm\u011brem m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 0,8 st\u0159el na z\u00e1pas, s\u00e1zej na pod 2,5. Takhle se dostane\u0161 p\u0159ed soupe\u0159e, kter\u00fd t\u00e1hne jen podle \u201ep\u0159evaha\u201c.<\/p>\n

Rozd\u00edl mezi dom\u00e1c\u00ed a venkovn\u00ed sc\u00e9nou<\/h3>\n

Dom\u00e1c\u00ed led m\u00e1 sv\u016fj specifick\u00fd chlad, kde se hr\u00e1\u010di c\u00edt\u00ed komfortn\u011b. To se p\u0159ekl\u00e1d\u00e1 do vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00fasp\u011b\u0161nosti vst\u0159elen\u00fdch g\u00f3l\u016f o 15\u202f%. Na venkovn\u00edch z\u00e1pasech se \u010dasto m\u011bn\u00ed s\u00edla st\u0159el a rychlost hry, co\u017e sni\u017euje pr\u016fm\u011br g\u00f3l\u016f. Proto nepodce\u0148uj dopad lokality \u2013 s\u00e1zka\u0159, kter\u00fd ignoruje tuto dimenzi, p\u0159ijde o \u010d\u00e1st sv\u00e9ho edge.<\/p>\n

Fin\u00e1ln\u00ed tip \u2013 jak z\u00fa\u017eit v\u00fdb\u011br na ten spr\u00e1vn\u00fd z\u00e1pas<\/h2>\n

Zapome\u0148 na pr\u016fm\u011bry, pod\u00edvej se na posledn\u00ed t\u0159i souboje mezi stejn\u00fdmi t\u00fdmy. V tom se skr\u00fdv\u00e1 kl\u00ed\u010d k predikci. Pokud t\u00fdm A vyhr\u00e1l prvn\u00ed set dvakr\u00e1t po sob\u011b, \u0161ance na dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdhru je 68\u202f%. P\u0159idej tomu aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed zran\u011bn\u00ed a z\u00edsk\u00e1\u0161 solidn\u00ed z\u00e1klad pro s\u00e1zku. A te\u010f: vezmi si posledn\u00ed data o brank\u00e1\u0159\u00edch, aplikuj over\/under a s\u00e1zej s rozmyslem. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdvoj a pro\u010d se nevyplat\u00ed spol\u00e9hat jen na popularitu Statistiky ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee t\u00fdm s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edmi fanou\u0161ky v posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech \u010dasto sel\u017ee, proto\u017ee motivace kon\u010d\u00ed po dosa\u017een\u00ed prvn\u00edho m\u00edsta ve skupin\u011b. Kdy\u017e se pod\u00edv\u00e1me na posledn\u00ed deset z\u00e1pas\u016f, zjist\u00edme, \u017ee pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd po\u010det st\u0159el na branku kles\u00e1 o 12\u202f% v takzvan\u00fdch \u201evyh\u0159\u00edvan\u00fdch\u201c z\u00e1pasech. To je jasn\u00e1…
V\u00edce<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":81,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33100","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33100","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/81"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=33100"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33100\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=33100"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=33100"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=33100"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}