{"id":33078,"date":"2024-09-21T07:30:08","date_gmt":"2024-09-21T07:30:08","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-29T22:00:00","slug":"analyza-vykonu-ceskych-hokejistu-v-nhl","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/?p=33078","title":{"rendered":"Anal\u00fdza v\u00fdkon\u016f \u010desk\u00fdch hokejist\u016f v NHL"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Pro\u010d je statistika kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1<\/h2>\n<p>V\u0161ichni v\u00edme, \u017ee data jsou hor\u0161\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edtel ne\u017e protivn\u00edk na led\u011b. Tady se ale nejedn\u00e1 o nudnou tabulku, ale o explozi informac\u00ed, kter\u00e1 odhal\u00ed, kde \u010desk\u00e1 j\u00edzda kon\u010d\u00ed a kde za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1. Nap\u0159\u00edklad u Petr\u016fv\u00fdch st\u0159el na 60 minut je pr\u016fm\u011br srovnateln\u00fd s kapit\u00e1nem Toronta \u2013 a to je slibn\u00e9. O\u010dividn\u011b se to ale ne\u010d\u00ed\u0161\u00ed na ka\u017ed\u00e9m \u0159\u00e1dku, proto\u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 \u010d\u00edslo, jako je g\u00f3lov\u00e1 \u0161ance, m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt zkreslen\u00e9 m\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm p\u0159esahem.<\/p>\n<h2>G\u00f3lov\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti a skute\u010dn\u00fd dopad<\/h2>\n<p>Pod\u00edvejte se na to takhle: kdy\u017e si vezmete sou\u010det \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdch st\u0159el a celkov\u00fdch v\u00fdst\u0159elk\u016f, dostanete tzv. shooting percentage. U na\u0161ich hr\u00e1\u010d\u016f je \u010dasto pod 15\u202f%, co\u017e zn\u00ed jako selh\u00e1n\u00ed, ale ve skute\u010dnosti ukazuje, \u017ee jsou nasazeni pod tlakem. Naproti tomu \u0161v\u00e9dsk\u00e9 hv\u011bzdy s podobn\u00fdm po\u010dtem \u0161anc\u00ed dosahuj\u00ed 20\u202f% \u2013 to je prost\u011b jin\u00e1 \u00farove\u0148. Tady se skr\u00fdv\u00e1 praxe: \u010de\u0161t\u00ed \u00fato\u010dn\u00edci \u010dasto m\u00ed\u0159\u00ed na kruh se \u0161\u00edlen\u00fdm \u00fahlem, zat\u00edmco ostatn\u00ed rad\u011bji \u010dekaj\u00ed na \u010dist\u00e9 z\u00e1b\u011bry.<\/p>\n<h2>Midfieldov\u00e1 dynamika<\/h2>\n<p>Mezihokejist\u00e9 jsou ti, co tvo\u0159\u00ed most mezi obranou a \u00fatokem. V roce 2023 se jejich pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 \u00fasp\u011b\u0161nost p\u0159i z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed puk\u016f zv\u00fd\u0161ila o 12\u202f% a to je fakt, kter\u00fd nelze p\u0159ehl\u00e9dnout. P\u0159itom se \u010dasto podce\u0148uje jejich face\u2011off win rate, kter\u00fd se u \u010desk\u00fdch hr\u00e1\u010d\u016f dr\u017e\u00ed na \u0161edes\u00e1ti procentech \u2013 a to je dobr\u00fd v\u00fdsledek. Ale pokud chcete v\u011bd\u011bt, kdo v t\u00fdmu opravdu dominuje, pod\u00edvejte se na Corsi, kde \u010desk\u00e9 hv\u011bzdy maj\u00ed z\u00e1porn\u00fd rozd\u00edl, co\u017e nazna\u010duje, \u017ee ztr\u00e1cej\u00ed v\u00edce \u010dasu na ofenz\u00edv\u011b ne\u017e z\u00edsk\u00e1vaj\u00ed.<\/p>\n<h2>P\u0159epo\u010det na ligov\u00e9 pr\u016fm\u011bry<\/h2>\n<p>Je \u010das nastavit m\u011b\u0159\u00edtka. V\u0161ichni chceme srovnat n\u00e1\u0161 v\u00fdkon s pr\u016fm\u011brem NHL. Kdy\u017e vy\u010d\u00edt\u00e1te 0,75 bodu na z\u00e1pas a pr\u016fm\u011br league je 0,90, je to jasn\u00e1 v\u00fdzva. Nav\u00edc, pokud zahrnete i \u010das na led\u011b, na\u0161i \u010de\u0161t\u00ed hr\u00e1\u010di \u010dasto z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed na led\u011b krat\u0161\u00ed dobu, co\u017e sni\u017euje jejich \u0161anci na bodov\u00e1n\u00ed. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, \u010dasov\u00e1 exaktnost je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1. To se nemus\u00ed zd\u00e1t jako v\u011bdeck\u00fd experiment, ale je to fakt.<\/p>\n<h3>Statistick\u00e9 \u0161umy a skryt\u00e1 data<\/h3>\n<p>Zva\u017ete, \u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 statistiky jsou jen \u0161umem. Nap\u0159\u00edklad plus\u2011minus m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt zkreslen\u00fd, pokud t\u00fdm hraje defensivn\u011b. Naopak, advanced metrics jako Expected Goals (xG) ukazuj\u00ed, jak se hr\u00e1\u010d sna\u017e\u00ed vytvo\u0159it kvalitn\u00ed \u0161ance, a u \u010desk\u00fdch \u00fato\u010dn\u00edk\u016f je to \u010dasto podpr\u016fm\u011br. To je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9, proto\u017ee xG v\u00e1m \u0159ekne, kam se va\u0161e \u00fasil\u00ed m\u011b\u0159\u00ed a kde m\u016f\u017eete zlep\u0161it sv\u016fj game\u2011plan. V praxi to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee byste m\u011bli sledovat nejen g\u00f3l, ale i p\u0159edst\u0159elen\u00e9 st\u0159ely, kontrolovan\u00e9 p\u0159ehr\u00e1vky a podobn\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Mimochodem, pokud chcete podrobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed rozbor a aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed data, mrkn\u011bte na <a href=\"https:\/\/hokejzive.com\">hokejzive.com<\/a> a najd\u011bte si grafy, kter\u00e9 v\u00e1m uk\u00e1\u017eou, kde se \u010desk\u00e1 \u00fato\u010dn\u00e1 jednota pohybuje. Zkuste sledovat minutovou statistiku a adjustovat sv\u00e9 v\u00fdb\u011bry.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pro\u010d je statistika kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 V\u0161ichni v\u00edme, \u017ee data jsou hor\u0161\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edtel ne\u017e protivn\u00edk na led\u011b. Tady se ale nejedn\u00e1 o nudnou tabulku, ale o explozi informac\u00ed, kter\u00e1 odhal\u00ed, kde \u010desk\u00e1 j\u00edzda kon\u010d\u00ed a kde za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1. Nap\u0159\u00edklad u Petr\u016fv\u00fdch st\u0159el na 60 minut je pr\u016fm\u011br srovnateln\u00fd s kapit\u00e1nem Toronta \u2013 a to je slibn\u00e9. O\u010dividn\u011b se&hellip; <br \/> <a class=\"read-more\" href=\"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/?p=33078\">V\u00edce<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":81,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33078","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33078","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/81"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=33078"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33078\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=33078"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=33078"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.lavaia.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=33078"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}